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2012 Fantasy Waiver Wire – Week 11

We’re moving into the final bye week of the NFL season, so unless you have injuries; this is the last week you have to roll without your regular starters. However, waiver acquisitions are more than just warm bodies; the right ones can help propel you to victory. Here are some players that look good this week.

Philadelphia Eagles QB Nick Foles – With Michael Vick (concussion) likely ruled out this week, Foles will draw the start for the Eagles. I personally was impressed with Foles in the preseason. He looked really good, especially for a rookie and last week stepped in for Vick to throw for 219 yards and a touchdown throw. Foles will go against a horrible Washington defense that has given up more than 2700 yards and 20 passing touchdowns on the year. Foles is owned in 0.5% of ESPN and 4% of Yahoo leagues.

Carson Palmer

Palmer goes against the generous Saints this week.

Oakland Raiders QB Carson Palmer – Palmer threw for 368 yards and two touchdowns against the Ravens in Week 10. Now he gets to join the group of quarterbacks who have passed all over the Saints for lots of fantasy points. Expect good things to come this week. Palmer is owned in 66% of ESPN and 57% of Yahoo leagues.  Even though the Raiders could do better, Palmer has been a very good fantasy option this year and should be owned in every league.

Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill – Nothing really went well for Tannehill and the Dolphins last week against Tennessee, but now it’s a new week. It’s also a week against the porous Buffalo Bills. Expect Tannehill to rebound and be a high QB2. He is owned in 20% of ESPN and 13% of Yahoo leagues.

Buffalo Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick – Good things happened for Fitzpatrick in Week 10, as they usually do when he plays the Patriots. Fitzpatrick threw for 337 yards and two scores. Look for him to keep rolling this week against Miami, a team that gives up the 10th most points to fantasy quarterbacks. Fitzpatrick is owned in 55% of ESPN and 48% of Yahoo leagues.

New Orleans Saints RB Mark Ingram – All the talks regarding the Saints running backs are about Chris Ivory, however it’s Ingram that led the team in carries with 16 to Ivory’s seven. If that trend continues, Ingram is in for a solid showing against the Oakland Raiders and their fifth worst fantasy running back defense. I see Ingram as a flex play this week. He is owned in 58% of ESPN and 26% of Yahoo leagues.

Saint Louis Rams WR Danny Amendola – Amendola tore up the 49ers for 102 yards on 11 catches, and though he didn’t score, Amendola is the Rams’ top receiving option. He’ll face the reeling Jets at home this week. It’s not an ideal matchup, but Amendola will see his share of passes. If you’re in an ESPN league, you have a decent chance of scoring Amendola as he is owned in 49% of those leagues. He’s owned in 69% of Yahoo leagues.

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Laurent Robinson – Two weeks in a row Robinson has led the Jaguars in targets and he looks like quarterback Blaine Gabbert’s favorite target. And although his matchup this week against the Texans doesn’t look good, keep in mind that the Jags will probably be playing from behind the whole game and will have to rely on the pass. If Robinson sees 15 targets again, he’ll be a decent Flex/WR3 play. Teammate Cecil Shorts is also worth a look against lesser defenses, due to his big play ability. Robinson is owned in 26% of ESPN and 10% of Yahoo leagues.

Detroit Lions WR Titus Young – Titus Young has three touchdowns in his last three games, and now has a matchup against the Green Bay Packers and their banged up secondary. I expect the Lions to throw often this week, and Young should benefit, as most of the Packers’ attention will be focused on Calvin Johnson. Young is owned in 60% of fantasy leagues.

Oakland Raiders TE Brandon Myers – Brandon Myers is a very consistent tight end, and one that sees a lot of targets. He does play the New Orleans Saints, and if there is one thing the Saints do well, it’s defend the tight end. I do believe Myers will buck that trend a little this week, as he averages 4.9 catches per game. He’ll see his targets and will get you a few points if you need them at tight end. Myers is owned in 18% of ESPN and 40% of Yahoo leagues.  The only concern is that he did suffer a concussion last week, so you will need to monitor whether or not he is able to play this week.  If he does not play, David Ausberry would be the starter.

Carolina Panthers TE Greg Olsen – Olsen is coming off a dominant week where he caught 9 passes for 102 yards and a pair of touchdowns. I don’t expect a repeat, but I do expect a solid game from Olsen against the 9th worst fantasy TE defense (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) in Week 11. Olsen is owned in 45% of ESPN and 58% of Yahoo leagues.

Dallas Cowboys Defense – The defense really showed up against the Eagles in Week 10. You can’t expect another three touchdowns from this group, but the matchup at home against the Browns and a rookie quarterback is enticing. Dallas is owned in 43% of ESPN and 36% of Yahoo leagues.

Saint Louis Rams Defense – The Rams are an up and coming NFL defense and I like what’s coming up this week as a fantasy defense. The Rams will host the struggling Jets who score less than 20 points per game and average less than 200 yards through the air. St Louis is also sixth in the NFL in sacks with 26 on the year. The Rams are owned in 12% of ESPN and 10% of Yahoo leagues.

Indianapolis Colts K Adam Vinatieri – He’s still a solid kicker and the Colts should be able to move the ball into scoring position against his old team. Vinatieri is owned in 26% of ESPN and 19% of Yahoo leagues.

Houston Texans K Shayne Graham – Ample scoring chances await as his team plays the Jaguars (give up 27.3 points per game) at home. Graham is owned in 28% of ESPN and 34% of Yahoo leagues.

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33 comments

  1. mike mcgann /

    bye issue – would you roll the dice with Jennings or Ballard this wk?

    • Derek Lofland /

      mike mcgann – Thanks for the question. I’m not a big fan of Jennings this week, but the Colts also play the tough Patriots Run D and Jennings doesn’t have Brown stealing carries. I’d lean toward Jennings. Good luck.

  2. hartline v bills or law firm v kc?

    • Derek Lofland /

      Buttz – Thanks for the question. The Law Firm has been doing nothing in recent weeks, I’d go Hartline against that bad Bills secondary. Good luck.

  3. Defensive Waiver Wire Week #11 question

    Would you pick up

    Baltimore against an old washed up QB in Pitts.

    or Cin against KC
    or
    Dallas at home against Cleveland??

    in a one week fix since I have Seattle on a bye.
    I get points for sacks and INTs….
    Thank you!!!

    • Derek Lofland /

      Johnny – Thanks for the question. Either one is a good play, I like the Ravens against Leftwich. Think he will get sacked a lot and turn the ball over. Good luck.

  4. Drop/Add question so to speak.

    Have Hartline already….
    Would you roll with him or would you pick up Heyward-Bey in his place Week #11 as your flex spot?

    Thanks!

    • Derek Lofland /

      Johnny – Thanks for the question. I’d go with Hartline, the Bills are 24th against receivers and he is the top option in the Miami passing attack. HDB is a good option, but I look at Moore as the top option and Hartline has a great matchup. Good luck.

  5. Flex position Week #11

    Greg Olson or Mike Williams ???

    I also have Meyers as an option but he might be out this week…

    Who do you think would work best…..in my flex spot?
    Thanks!!

    • Derek Lofland /

      Johnny – Thanks for the question. Pretty much a toss up, but I would go with Olsen. The Buccaneers are just 22nd against tight ends and the Panthers are very good on fantasy receivers. That said, there is not a ton of difference, so if you don’t trust that Panthers offense, Williams is not a bad play. I view Olsen as a mid TE1 versus Williams as a low WR3. Good luck.

  6. I need a fill in defense this week should I pick up the Jets Cincinnati or the Buccaneers

    • Derek Lofland /

      David – Thanks for the question. I have all three ranked within four spots of each other with the Buccaneers as the top one. I’d go with them against the bad Carolina offense. Good luck.

  7. Thanks for the response Derek, I just saw a few more this owner w/ Carson Palmer has:

    1.) has me trading McGahee& Malcom Floyd

    I’d return I’d get- Carson Palmer & Ryan Matthews

    2.) has me trading Malcom Floyd & Titus young

    In return I’d get- Carson Palmer & Ryan Matthews

    I just checked & the deals weren’t there just in my email so he prob cancelled it before I saw it.

    • Derek Lofland /

      J – That’s a dangerous game for that owner to play. I never send a trade through unless I’m sure I want it, all you need is an owner checking his email and quickly accepting it. I like the Floyd and Young one for Palmer and Matthews. If he decides he wants to offer that one again, I’d pull the trigger there. The only thing is you’d have to find another receiver off of waivers, but it would help with your QB and RB depth. Not as big of a fan of the McGahee and Floyd one, not sure Matthews upgrades McGahee the way Matthews has been playing. Otherwise, I think you will do fine with Foles or Tannehill this week.

  8. fantasy dr x /

    Sorry, but money league PPR start sit question:
    Luck over cutler,I’m sure.
    2 RBs: Spiller, charles, f-Jax-Dwyer.
    2 WRS: AJ Green, wayne, t. smith, d. moore.
    1 flex out of rb/wr.
    Hanson or graham at K?

    at TE I have bennet on bye and only K. davis active but am afraid to play him. Options on the wire are: D.Allen, Tamme,housler, keller,crabtree, moeaki, stevens,scheffler,graham,dickson, walker. What to do?
    Thanks

    • Derek Lofland /

      Dr X – Thanks for the question. I’d go with Spiller and Charles at the backs spots. Jackson is out and Dwyer has no Big Ben, that offense should be limited. At receiver, I’d go Green and Wayne. I n the flex I’d go Moore against the Saints. I like Graham against the bad Jacksonville D. I’d pick up D. Allen and start him against the Patriots terrible tight end D. Good luck.

      • fantasy dr x /

        I meant steven jackson, not fred. does it change anything?

        • Derek Lofland /

          Dr X – It could, because F Jackson is out and S Jackson plays a horrible Jets run D. Only thing it could change is the flex spot. I have Moore as the 13th ranked receiver and Jackson as the 13th ranked running back. I love Moore at home against that bad Saints pass D, but I think both are great plays this week. Toss up in my mind, you could go either way.

  9. Since I have ap on bye this week should I pick up Danny woodhead or alex green it is a ppr league or I have the lawfirm on my bench what to do? I know

    • Derek Lofland /

      David – Thanks for the question. I have seen nothing from Green that impresses me and Woodhead draws a terrible Colts Run D. I would go with him for the fill in this week. Good luck.

  10. Dirty bird /

    As a owner of Jay Cutler & Eli Manning, both who either have their bye this week or will miss due to injury has me in a bad spot, unfortunately the waiver isn’t too hot this week, I still need a QB, this is who is available Byron Leftwich, Brady Quinn, Blaine Gabbert, Ryan Tannehill, Nick Foles, and Tebow. Not the best, but just short term & I would be dropping an extra kicker that I had on my bench.

    • Derek Lofland /

      Dirty Bird – Thanks for the question. I have Tannehill ranked 15th and Foles 16th this week. Either is a great fill in for this type of situation. Good luck.

  11. Legion Of Doom /

    I’m in must win mode and have a disastrous RB situation due to bye week and injuries. I’ve picked up scraps and must start 2 among the following RB:

    Felix Jones vs Cleveland
    Isaac Redman vs Baltimore
    Chris Ivory @ Oakland
    Mark Ingram @ Oakland
    Rashard Mendenhall vs Baltimore * Questionable for week 11.

    • Derek Lofland /

      Legion of Doom – Thanks for the question. I’d go with Ingram and Jones. The Raiders are terrible against the run and Ingram is seeing a lot more carries now than he was at the beginning of the season. Jones plays a bad Cleveland D and also seems to be playing better. I don’t like any of the Steelers backs against Baltimore with no Big Ben. Ivory has a good matchup too, but Ingram is seeing twice as many carries. I’d go with Ingram over Ivory. Good luck.

  12. **I forgot to mention in the previous Question, do you like Dennis Pitta over Brent Celek as insurance to Aaron Hernandez, or Brent Celek better, because I was thinking that he could possibly be a safety net for Nick Foles vs a not so freat Redskins secondary.

    Thank you.

    • Derek Lofland /

      J – I love Celek against the Skins this week, I’d pick him up instead of Pitta.

  13. Cassidy /

    Have a waiver wire dilemna. I would waive Rashad Jennings who is due for a disasterous meeting with Houton week 11 and can pick up Rashard Mendenhall, Daniel Thomas or Mark Ingram.
    In a league where we keep any 4 players for next year. Rest of roster is Stafford, MJD, Richardson, Leshoure, BGE, Megatron, Nicks, Floyd, Williams, and A. Hernandez. Suggestions on who has the most value of Mendenhall, Tomas or Ingram.

    • Mendenhall and its not even close.

      • Won’t let me edit but in the way of explanation. Mendenhall is a great back. Not good but great but has been behind a bad offensive line in Pittsburgh (lots of injuries on OL- revolving door). If he ever gets a good OL he will put up monster fantasy points. He is a free agent at the end of the year and Pittsburgh’s line is improving as well so even if they keep him, he will show much improvement.

        • Derek Lofland /

          Lorro – I see your point, my question with Mendenhall is why would you want to keep him over Stafford, Richardson, Megatron or Nicks. She can only keep four players and Mendenhall is probably not going to be one of them. I think Ingram has more upside than Mendenhall with Big Ben hurt and the committee playing well in his absence.

    • Derek Lofland /

      Cassidy – Thanks for the question. I think Ingram or Thomas have the most value in dynasty leagues, but you are probably going to keep Stafford, Richardson, Megatron, and Nicks as your keepers, so I don’t think any of those three are going to be of value concerns for next year. Going forward, I like Ingram who is becoming the featured back in the Saints offense. I think when Sproles comes back, Ingram and Sproles will see the bulk of the carries. Thomas has looked good, but splits with Bush and Miller and I have no faith in Mendenhall to stay healthy and he plays with a committee. I love Ingram this week agains the Raiders bad D and he has sleeper potential for future weeks. Good luck.

  14. Hey there, I’m in a bit of a predicament this week. Big Ben went down last night with an injury that’s most likely keeping him out week 11(maybe even week 12 too), and my backup; Jay Cutler left Sunday nights game with a concussion & if he does go (which I doubt) it doesn’t look good vs San Fran. Also Demarco Murray is most likely not playing in week 11 & CJ2K has a bye.

    For QB alternatives on the waiver which do you like the most out of this bunch-

    Ryan Tannenhill vs Bills (bills D isn’t good)

    Sam Bradford vs Jets (he played well against SF)

    Nick Foles vs Skins (Vick out & when he played Sunday he seems to like to throw the deep ball)

    That’s basically all the decent options out there at QB.

    Also since Aaron Hernandez seems to always be game time decision which doesn’t do me any good because my roster locks on Thursdays, my backup Rudolph has a bye – would you look into adding TE Dennis Pitta so if I hear by thurs that Hernandez is limited or not practicing, atleast ill have another option to plug in there.

    Would you do this trade:

    Has me trading- James Jones & Malcom Floyd

    In return I’d get- Carson Palmer, TY Hilton, Andrew Hawkins.

    Keep in mind I already have Brandon Lloyd, AJ Green, Titus Young, & Hankerson.

    • Derek Lofland /

      J – Thanks for the question. I love Foles this week against the bad Redskins D. A also love Tannehill against the bad Bills D. I have Tannehill one spot ahead of Foles, I think you could go with either one and do fine this week. I think picking up Pitta is fine, he hasn’t been as hot as the beginning of the season, but is a good option.

      As for the trade, I love Palmer this week, so I like the fact you could get him to help fix your QB issue. I’m not big on Hilton or Hawkins, they are WR4 plays most week and you are giving up solid receivers. Green is a must start, but the others have been inconsistent. I think you are better off keeping your receivers and going with Tannehill or Foles on the waiver wire. Good luck.

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